Yesterday (August 30th, 2025), the political parties contesting the national elections staged their final rallies, each reflecting the varying degrees of support they command.
From reviewing the video footage and drone shots of each rally, the following indicative—though anecdotal—results can be drawn.
Assuming an 80% voter turnout and using the 2020 election results as a baseline—while factoring in the evolving political and economic landscape over the past five years—the approximate number of votes required per seat is estimated at 9,300.
• PPP/C is projected to secure a larger victory than in 2020, likely achieving ≥36 seats
• The Blue Party may just manage to scrape a single seat, with a slim chance of capturing a second.
• APNU has managed to salvage its core base (seemingly), though shrinking, to secure the remainder of the seats.
• AFC, which notably did not hold a final rally, appears to be effectively eliminated from contention, with a projected zero seat.
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