Yesterday (August 30th, 2025), the political parties contesting the national elections staged their final rallies, each reflecting the varying degrees of support they command.
From reviewing the video footage and drone shots of each rally, the following indicative—though anecdotal—results can be drawn.
Assuming an 80% voter turnout and using the 2020 election results as a baseline—while factoring in the evolving political and economic landscape over the past five years—the approximate number of votes required per seat is estimated at 9,300.
• PPP/C is projected to secure a larger victory than in 2020, likely achieving ≥36 seats
• The Blue Party may just manage to scrape a single seat, with a slim chance of capturing a second.
• APNU has managed to salvage its core base (seemingly), though shrinking, to secure the remainder of the seats.
• AFC, which notably did not hold a final rally, appears to be effectively eliminated from contention, with a projected zero seat.
𝗧𝗵𝗲𝘀𝗲 𝗽𝗿𝗼𝗷𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝘀 𝗮𝗿𝗲 𝗱𝗲𝗿𝗶𝘃𝗲𝗱 𝘀𝗼𝗹𝗲𝗹𝘆 𝗳𝗿𝗼𝗺 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗿𝗮𝗹𝗹𝗶𝗲𝘀 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗿𝗲𝗺𝗮𝗶𝗻 𝗰𝗼𝗻𝘀𝗲𝗿𝘃𝗮𝘁𝗶𝘃𝗲 𝗲𝘀𝘁𝗶𝗺𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 (± 𝟴% 𝗼𝗻 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘂𝗽𝗽𝗲𝗿 𝘃𝗮𝗹𝘂𝗲𝘀).